The current free fall in the NG market is more in sympathy with the falling oil. This drop may not go too far below the current $9 level, probably $8 - $8.5 range should provide a good support...The current drop of NG provides a good buying opportunity for investors with a long term horizon, if they believe that the long term trend on the oil market is intact and only under correction, and oil will stay at 3 digits and go back up to higher high in the future. The historical oil/gas ratio fluctuates between 4-12, with average about 7. Based on this, even if oil is at $100, I wouldn't surprise to see NG go back to $15 next year, with average price above $10 in future years...
The Volatility of Natural Gas
Source: Seeking Alpha (7/29/08)
The current free fall in the NG market is more in sympathy with the falling oil. This drop may not go too far below the current $9 level, probably $8 - $8.5 range should provide a good support...The current drop of NG provides a good buying opportunity for investors with a long term horizon, if they believe that the long term trend on the oil market is intact and only under correction, and oil will stay at 3 digits and go back up to higher high in the future...Thomas Tan
The current free fall in the NG market is more in sympathy with the falling oil. This drop may not go too far below the current $9 level, probably $8 - $8.5 range should provide a good support...The current drop of NG provides a good buying opportunity for investors with a long term horizon, if they believe that the long term trend on the oil market is intact and only under correction, and oil will stay at 3 digits and go back up to higher high in the future. The historical oil/gas ratio fluctuates between 4-12, with average about 7. Based on this, even if oil is at $100, I wouldn't surprise to see NG go back to $15 next year, with average price above $10 in future years...















































